sleigh: (Default)
([personal profile] sleigh Jun. 14th, 2007 09:26 am)
I’m probably naive. I’m probably gullible. I’m one of those weak, lily-livered liberals, an early reincarnation of Jimmy Carter.

But the more I look at the mess in Iraq, the more I’m convinced that it can't be solved with weaponry.

I heard a mention on NPR that one of our generals over there, a few days before the new bombings, said that there were two things that he felt might tear Iraq entirely apart. One was a meltdown of its army and security forces; the other was a new attack on the Al-Askariya Mosque in Samarra. Well, we have at least one of those scenarios now in play.

I look at the Al-Askariya mosque, and I wonder what might have happened had we -- after its massive golden dome was destroyed in 2006 by the explosion that sparked the worst wave of sectarian violence the country had experienced up until now -- gone in there with a thousand engineers and volunteer workers, taken one of the billions we’re pouring into this war, and helped the Shia congregation rebuild their temple. I wonder if we couldn’t make the same offer right now, in the wake of the minarets being destroyed, and if it might not have some small effect on new outbreak of violence...

(Interesting that gee, with Iraqi police and security as well as our own troops guarding this most holy of Shia sites, terrorists still managed to bring in enough explosives to take down two minarets on opposite sides of the structure. Call me naive and gullible, but someone guarding the place had to let them inside...)

Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr, as we might expect, is blaming us for the destruction (he called it a "cursed American-Israeli scenario that aims to spread the turmoil and plant the hatred among the Muslim brethren"), and though he’s calling for peaceful protests, I think we can all read the sub-text there and figure out what’s really going to happen. I wonder here, too -- are we engaging in talks and negotiations with this man, who has ties to Iran, who has immense influence among the minority Shia population, and who might be able to help us curb the violence in this country if we can convince him that we’re not Sunni-sympathetic lackeys ourselves. But I doubt we’re doing that -- we’re too busy calling him the “radical anti-American Muslim cleric.” He may be all of those things... but aren’t we allowing him to remain so? Aren’t we making him a self-fulfilling prophecy?

Or am I just being naive and gullible again?

From: [identity profile] lauriemann.livejournal.com


I'm still intrigued that at least one general on NPR this week used the term "civil war" to describe the mess in Iraq. It's been like that for over a year, and maybe longer. But fascinating that one of Bush's people is finally using that phrase.

From: [identity profile] hrimcealde.livejournal.com


i've been thinking about all this as well--who would have the most to gain from bombing this mosque. Undoubtedly, al qaeda would strike at an important Shia target and cause unrest among the people. But i don't trust al-Sadr (who does?) and some part of me wonders if it was indeed an inside job. I mean, i don't know how much of his "faith" is truly based on faith and Islam, and how much is a show to gain support and power from the people. But destroying the mosque would serve his purposes just fine and dandy too, wouldn't it? cause unrest against "coalition" forces, anger at the Sunni and pretty much a great excuse to start shooting at each other...which is what he wants, right? Egg on our face, and guns in the hands of his people.

But I agree. This war can only be lost with weaponry.
podling: (Default)

From: [personal profile] podling


I've actually been thinking along the same lines (which may just indicate my own naivety). I've been reading this book about dualistic religions going back to late antiquity through the Cathar heresy and it seems to me that the most successful (in terms of religious live and let live) times have been when the temples for everyone are being rebuilt. Less oppression, less unrest = happier populace who hate each other just a little less.

From: [identity profile] pnh.livejournal.com


"I’m probably naive. I’m probably gullible. I’m one of those weak, lily-livered liberals"

Jeez, guy, why is this framing necessary? Yes, I know you're being ironic, but we do this so often, it gets to be a tic. And a vulnerability.

Liberals fought and won World War II. Liberals kick ass. Liberals don't need to apologize to anyone over national-security credibility. Liberals should stop with the pre-emptive cringing already.

From: [identity profile] sleigh.livejournal.com


Say it loud / I'm liberal and proud!

And aside from the flippancy, point taken.

From: [identity profile] sleigh.livejournal.com


Yep. It's hard to hate people who are actively helping you.

From: [identity profile] sleigh.livejournal.com


I don't know -- believing al-Sadr would bomb his own mosque is too much conspiracy theory for me. I was suggesting that the (largely Sunni) Iraqi security forces were probably willing to let a few Sunni radicals slip by them. Or perhaps there were Al Qaeda sympathizers among them (Al Qaeda also being Sunni-based). Who knows.

But killing more of the other side just escalates the violence.



From: [identity profile] sleigh.livejournal.com


I've heard more and more people in the moderate-to-conservative camp using that term, too. It's about time.

From: [identity profile] lauriemann.livejournal.com


Liberals need a damned good reason to go to war.

Neocons need no good reason to go to war.

From: [identity profile] hrimcealde.livejournal.com


ah yes, i know. I don't really give much to conspiracy theories, and I don't really believe this one either. Part owes to my continued disbelief at the quagmire this whole thing has become. The other part, and perhaps the greater part, owes to some books i've been reading lately--full of backstabbing and treachery and the like. I guess if I read it enough, it bleeds into real life. Ha!

I don't know much about Vietnam, although my father served tours there, but I know more than your average person of my age. And since this whole war started, I've thought it beared too much of an eery similarity. And every time someone calls Iraq a quagmire, they are of course, knowingly or unknowingly, referencing Vietnam. The whole wretched thing makes me feel rather helpless. Add to that, I found out today that a boy i went to high school with died in Aghanistan last month. I'm in a mood today!

Sorry for the rather long comment!

From: [identity profile] sleigh.livejournal.com


No need to apologize!

Yes, 'quagmire' was the operative word during the Vietnam era, which I remember all too well -- I'm probably around your father's age.

From: (Anonymous)


"... I doubt we're doing that..." are you just assuming we are not talking to Sadr, without doing any research? I am a liberal and agree with your points, but I hate to see anyone make such lazy stereotypes of either the left or the right without looking into to it. Just because this administration has made a million mistakes doesn't mean we can just assume they do everything wrong.

From: [identity profile] sleigh.livejournal.com


No, I'm not just assuming, though no, the research was not exhaustive (hence the "I doubt..." in the statement.) Googling for any talks with al-Sadr brought up nothing except a couple reports within the last week about how we wanted to talk to him. (see, for instance, this article from The Independent dated June 11: http://news.independent.co.uk/world/politics/article2609310.ece). According to a couple articles I saw based on what may be the same sources, al-Sadr is refusing because he believes that the offer to talk is to allow us to capture or kill him.

Talks now would be better than no talks at all, but the point is that we should have been talking to him two or three years ago, before positions hardened into concrete, before the destruction of the mosque, before the sectarian violence got entirely out of hand.

*****

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